Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T03:20:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
9C 0x9c10…59ca crypto 1838 markets active 0h ago coverage 22d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 21d only
✗ bot/MM pace (120 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$472 (-6%) realized −$472 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate48%756W / 827L
Drawdown40%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day119.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$384
7 days−$17
14 days+$664
30 days+$776
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,301
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (120 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-2.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 505 -9.7% -18.3% 41% 40% -10.2%
≤30d 1583 +8.2% -2.1% 48% 46% +0.7%
≤90d 1583 +8.2% -2.1% 48% 46% +0.7%
all 1583 +8.2% -2.1% 48% 46% +0.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover119.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.1% 46% +0.7%
10% ← realistic here -11.5% 45% -8.9%
15% -20.0% 44% -17.7%
20% -27.9% 43% -25.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +11% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +8% · $-wt +11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +13% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$3 · ×1.46 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.34 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$472
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses756 / 827
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1583 / 1838
History coverage22d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day119.7
Drawdown40%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1583 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$3 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $100 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records