trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -73.7% | -76.2% | 11% | 11% | -35.2% |
| ≤30d | 26 | +2.7% | -7.0% | 35% | 31% | -10.4% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +2.7% | -7.0% | 35% | 31% | -10.4% |
| all | 34 | +2.9% | -6.9% | 41% | 38% | -7.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.9% | 38% | -7.1% |
| 10% | -15.8% | 35% | -16.0% |
| 15% | -23.9% | 29% | -24.1% |
| 20% | -31.4% | 26% | -31.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $34 | −$28 | -81% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $30 | −$16 | -52% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $48 | +$33 | +70% |
| Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $4 | −$4 | -97% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $14 | −$6 | -40% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$52 | +503% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $71 | −$68 | -96% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $21 | −$12 | -58% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $115 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | Jun 15 | $49 | −$5 | -10% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? | Jun 14 | $16 | +$16 | +100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $196 | −$11 | -5% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $100 | +$3 | +3% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $50 | +$16 | +31% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $15 | −$11 | -72% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $20 | +$47 | +232% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $31 | −$23 | -75% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $101 | +$75 | +74% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $77 | −$73 | -95% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $23 | +$46 | +194% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $31 | +$75 | +246% |
| Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend? | Feb 23 | $40 | +$40 | +100% |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | Feb 23 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Feb 23 | $20 | +$9 | +47% |
| Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Feb 23 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card) | Jan 30 | $20 | +$28 | +138% |
| UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Jan 30 | $20 | +$5 | +27% |
| Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend? | Jan 28 | $20 | +$3 | +15% |
| Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend? | Jan 28 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |