Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9c20…ab1e
crypto · 120 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$12 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses91 / 26
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)117 / 120
History coverage85d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown58%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 117 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$0
14 days−$6
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 82¢ 78¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 96¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs Bushido Wildcats 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? No 64¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $3 +$1 +19%
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 01 $12 −$12 -100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $3 +$3 +83%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Jun 01 $32 +$3 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +10%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? Jun 01 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 52% +$17
crypto 43% −$6
sports 2% −$1
other 2% +$1
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 9d
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? BUY No 83¢ $3 10d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY No 82¢ $5 10d
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? BUY No 64¢ $12 10d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 11d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 11d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 11d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 11d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -0.9% -10.3% 71% 57% -9.7%
≤30d 106 -4.6% -13.7% 77% 65% -12.1%
≤90d 117 +1.7% -8.0% 78% 67% -4.9%
all 117 +1.7% -8.0% 78% 67% -4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.0% 67% -4.9%
10% -16.8% 26% -14.0%
15% -24.8% 7% -22.3%
20% -32.2% 5% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.55 · official $10.55 (match) · 225 history records