trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 36 | +6.1% | -4.0% | 36% | 19% | -19.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.0% | 19% | -19.8% |
| 10% | -13.2% | 19% | -27.4% |
| 15% | -21.6% | 19% | -34.5% |
| 20% | -29.3% | 19% | -40.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $480 | $480 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $310 | $310 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $220 | $220 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 16 | $28 | +$35 | +127% |
| Rangers vs. Blue Jays | Sep 15 | $17 | +$16 | +96% |
| Orioles vs. Guardians | Aug 15 | $4 | +$3 | +79% |
| Thunder vs. Pacers | Jul 09 | $3 | +$6 | +203% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 13 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 12 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 07 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea? | May 07 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | May 05 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | May 02 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 28 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Apr 23 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Apr 22 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 17 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Apr 16 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | Apr 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 09 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 08 | $4 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 03 | $1 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 01 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Elon tweet 750-774 times March 7-14? | Apr 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 24 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Greens win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary e | Mar 05 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Red Wings vs. Blue Jackets | Jan 03 | $112 | −$112 | -100% |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Jan 01 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Tether Insolvent in 2024? | Jan 01 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? | Jan 01 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Milady flip BAYC in 2024? | Jan 01 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Ethena crash in 2024? | Jan 01 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Mavericks vs. Suns | Dec 30 | $103 | +$112 | +108% |
| Heat vs. Magic | Dec 27 | $115 | −$115 | -100% |
| Dolphins vs. Patriots | Oct 07 | $55 | −$55 | -100% |
| Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday? | Oct 06 | $33 | +$22 | +67% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 02 | $10 | +$16 | +156% |
| 草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)? | Oct 01 | $17 | $0 | +0% |