Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:57:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9c43…8acc
other · 7 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$8 +26%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized+$9
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses3 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)4 / 7
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day3.9
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit43%
Chart Positions 3 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$9
14 days+$9
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Yes 36¢ 22¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +114%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 +$8 +250%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 64% +$6
sports 20% +$7
crypto 16% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 36¢ $3 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 15h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $3 25h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $3 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $4 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+59.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +76.7% +59.9% 75% 75% +37.1%
≤30d 4 +76.7% +59.9% 75% 75% +37.1%
≤90d 4 +76.7% +59.9% 75% 75% +37.1%
all 4 +76.7% +59.9% 75% 75% +37.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +59.9% 75% +37.1%
10% +44.6% 75% +24.0%
15% +30.6% 75% +12.0%
20% +17.8% 50% +1.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.79 · official $11.79 (match) · 11 history records