trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 9% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 23 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 13% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.5% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.3% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | Jun 23 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | Jun 19 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 12 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | May 29 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 20 | $213 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 16 | $105 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 11 | $106 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 03 | $106 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 18 | $107 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no | Apr 16 | $107 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 26 | $216 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 20 | $433 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 16 | $216 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | Mar 14 | $216 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 09 | $216 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 03 | $426 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | Mar 02 | $217 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February? | Feb 24 | $217 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 30 | $210 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 04 | $207 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 03 | $211 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 02 | $210 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? | Dec 31 | $211 | $0 | +0% |