trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 100% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 33% | 0% | -10.7% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 50% | 8% | -9.6% |
| all | 23 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 43% | 4% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.9% | 4% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -17.6% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -25.6% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -32.9% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | $40 | $40 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 23 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 26 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $65 | $0 | -0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 25 | $35 | −$1 | -4% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 24 | $43 | −$1 | -3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 24 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | May 24 | $39 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 23 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 21 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 21 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 20 | $11 | +$2 | +15% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 20 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 20 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | May 10 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the | Apr 09 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Young Thug in his first 100 days? | Apr 09 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Apr 08 | $23 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 08 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 07 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 05 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 04 | $22 | $0 | +1% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31? | Mar 31 | $23 | $0 | -0% |