trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 55% | 45% | +1.8% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 59% | 45% | +2.2% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 59% | 45% | +2.2% |
| all | 22 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 59% | 45% | +2.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.8% | 45% | +2.2% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 32% | -7.6% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 32% | -16.5% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 32% | -24.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 7¢ | $90 | $63 | −$28 (-31%) |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in June? | No | 72¢ | 72¢ | $8 | $8 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 22 | $50 | +$3 | +6% |
| New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5 | Jun 22 | $100 | +$4 | +4% |
| Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5 | Jun 22 | $20 | +$4 | +21% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $20 | +$12 | +57% |
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Spread: United States (-2.5) | Jun 19 | $10 | +$2 | +21% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $10 | +$6 | +56% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $19 | −$19 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $15 | −$1 | -7% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $62 | +$52 | +84% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$24 | +231% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $10 | +$14 | +134% |
| Spread: Norway (-3.5) | Jun 16 | $20 | −$12 | -60% |
| Spread: Norway (-2.5) | Jun 16 | $15 | +$2 | +13% |
| France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $101 | +$84 | +83% |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 in June? | Jun 16 | $40 | −$40 | -99% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 16? | Jun 15 | $27 | −$26 | -97% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | Jun 15 | $153 | +$26 | +17% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June? | Jun 15 | $50 | +$3 | +5% |