Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:08:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9c66…6b66
other · 11 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$5,677 +304%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,602 · open +$257
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,804
Realized+$2,602
Unrealized+$257
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses3 / 1
Open positions11
Markets (closed)4 / 11
History coverage5d
Avg bet$170
Trades / day742.7
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit42%
Chart Positions 11 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,602
7 days+$2,602
14 days+$2,602
30 days+$2,602
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $659 $721 +$62 (+9%)
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $618 $673 +$55 (+9%)
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $521 $586 +$65 (+12%)
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $328 $361 +$33 (+10%)
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $175 $193 +$18 (+10%)
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $153 $172 +$19 (+12%)
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $43 $48 +$5 (+12%)
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $36 $34 −$2 (-5%)
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $8 $10 +$1 (+17%)
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 5¢ 6¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+18%)
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-82%)
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-87%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? Jun 12 $26 −$6 -21%
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$215 +53861150%
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$734 +244589300%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $117 +$1,658 +1416%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 80% +$1,878
culture 20% +$36
tech 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 0m
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 2m
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5m
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? SELL Yes 1¢ $2 8m
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 10m
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 21m
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 21m
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 23m
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 27m
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 27m
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi BUY Yes 0¢ $0 27m
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 28m
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 32m
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 35m
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? SELL Yes 1¢ $12 42m
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 58m
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? SELL Yes 1¢ $6 2h
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 2h
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 2h
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+1210.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +1348.7% +1210.7% 75% 75% +1032.6%
≤30d 4 +1348.7% +1210.7% 75% 75% +1032.6%
≤90d 4 +1348.7% +1210.7% 75% 75% +1032.6%
all 4 +1348.7% +1210.7% 75% 75% +1032.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover742.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1210.7% 75% +1032.6%
10% ← realistic here +1085.3% 75% +924.2%
15% +970.8% 75% +825.3%
20% +865.8% 75% +734.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,803.92 · official $2,803.92 (match) · 3500 history records