trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 25 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee | Jun 28 | $1,031 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 28 | $79 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 28 | $1,054 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Jun 28 | $1,098 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the e | May 19 | $56 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 | May 19 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 19 | $23 | $0 | -1% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 16 | $2,002 | −$5 | -0% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15? | May 16 | $48 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 16 | $683 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 16 | $659 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? | May 15 | $68 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | May 15 | $696 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | May 15 | $695 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close | May 14 | $66 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? | May 14 | $706 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 14 | $706 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 09 | $152 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 09 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? | Apr 09 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 06 | $111 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 06 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after th | Apr 02 | $136 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 02 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 02 | $58 | $0 | -0% |