trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $1,253 | $1,251 | −$2 (-0%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $1,040 | $930 | −$110 (-11%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $619 | $612 | −$8 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | $304 | $270 | −$34 (-11%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $189 | $234 | +$45 (+24%) |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $61 | $63 | +$2 (+2%) |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 52¢ | 52¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-21%) |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $3 | +$1 | +44% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $4 | +$6 | +172% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +38.8% | +25.6% | 67% | 67% | +63.4% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +38.8% | +25.6% | 67% | 67% | +63.4% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +38.8% | +25.6% | 67% | 67% | +63.4% |
| all | 3 | +38.8% | +25.6% | 67% | 67% | +63.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +25.6% | 67% | +63.4% |
| 10% | +13.6% | 67% | +47.8% |
| 15% | +2.6% | 67% | +33.5% |
| 20% | -7.5% | 33% | +20.4% |