trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +28.0% | +15.8% | 100% | 100% | +15.8% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +28.0% | +15.8% | 100% | 100% | +15.8% |
| ≤90d | 2 | +35.5% | +22.6% | 100% | 100% | +19.5% |
| all | 9 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 44% | 33% | -10.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.9% | 33% | -10.8% |
| 10% | -28.5% | 22% | -19.3% |
| 15% | -35.4% | 11% | -27.1% |
| 20% | -41.7% | 0% | -34.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 80¢ | 86¢ | $40 | $43 | +$3 (+8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Jun 25 | $94 | +$26 | +28% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | Apr 24 | $35 | +$15 | +43% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | Feb 28 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | Feb 28 | $41 | −$41 | -100% |
| X banned in U.K. by March 31? | Feb 05 | $96 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Feb 03 | $192 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom | Feb 02 | $91 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 12 | $98 | $0 | -0% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 12, 10PM ET | Jan 03 | $88 | +$12 | +14% |