Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9c76…cfba
crypto · 519 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$134 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$134 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$134
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses194 / 325
Open positions0
Markets (closed)519 / 519
Avg bet$2
Trades / day7.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 519 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$14
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 7AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +59%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET May 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET May 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET May 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET May 10 $9 −$4 -46%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 10 $1 +$2 +218%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET May 10 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$134
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-29.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -32.5% -38.9% 35% 32% -28.4%
≤30d 40 -32.5% -38.9% 35% 32% -28.4%
≤90d 90 -36.1% -42.2% 36% 31% -34.1%
all 519 -22.1% -29.6% 37% 32% -21.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.6% 32% -21.4%
10% -36.3% 27% -28.9%
15% -42.5% 21% -35.8%
20% -48.1% 14% -42.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1507 history records