Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T15:54:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9C 0x9c79…4326 crypto 1756 markets active 6d ago coverage 120d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$112 (-2%) realized −$112 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate55%936W / 766L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day17.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$12
14 days+$34
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$66
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -13.8% -22.0% 40% 40% -25.1%
≤30d 1449 +0.6% -9.0% 58% 54% -9.2%
≤90d 1512 -1.2% -10.6% 57% 53% -10.1%
all 1702 -2.3% -11.6% 55% 51% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.6% 51% -10.8%
10% -20.1% 47% -19.3%
15% -27.8% 41% -27.1%
20% -34.9% 37% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×0.79 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

120d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$112
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses936 / 766
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1702 / 1756
History coverage120d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day17.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1702 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +96%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$3 +214%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$4 +285%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +103%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +94%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +147%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +136%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +186%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +66%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $5 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3185 history records