Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:26:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9c81…2392
other · 7 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$136 +21%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$143 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$223
Realized+$143
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses3 / 2
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)5 / 7
History coverage86d
Avg bet$94
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit29%
Chart Positions 2 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$142
7 days+$142
14 days+$142
30 days+$142
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $200 $194 −$6 (-3%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-2%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $34 +$56 +165%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $16 −$1 -7%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $302 +$129 +43%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $43 −$41 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Mar 27 $30 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 93% +$136
crypto 5% +$1
sports 2% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $203 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $31 1h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 31¢ $15 19h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $431 19h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $16 26h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $34 26h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $14 26h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $100 26h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $14 30h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $101 30h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $14 30h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $101 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 86d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 86d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 86d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +25.3% +13.3% 50% 50% +23.2%
≤30d 4 +25.3% +13.3% 50% 50% +23.2%
≤90d 5 +20.8% +9.3% 60% 40% +21.0%
all 5 +20.8% +9.3% 60% 40% +21.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +9.3% 40% +21.0%
10% -1.2% 40% +9.5%
15% -10.7% 40% -1.1%
20% -19.5% 20% -10.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $222.87 · official $222.87 (match) · 18 history records