Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T16:44:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9C 0x9c93…c043 crypto 394 markets active 2h ago coverage 99d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$85 (-0%) realized −$85 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate54%213W / 181L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$48per market
Trades / day8.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$75
7 days−$264
14 days−$231
30 days−$934
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$332
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -14.7% -22.8% 46% 42% -20.5%
≤30d 123 -9.4% -18.0% 50% 47% -19.7%
≤90d 394 +0.9% -8.7% 54% 53% -11.1%
all 394 +0.9% -8.7% 54% 53% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover8.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.7% 53% -11.1%
10% -17.5% 53% -19.6%
15% -25.4% 51% -27.4%
20% -32.7% 46% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$38 vs −$47 · ×0.82 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

99d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$85
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses213 / 181
Open positions0
Markets (closed)394 / 394
History coverage99d
Avg bet$48
Trades / day8.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 394 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11AM ET Jun 19 $62 −$62 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12AM ET Jun 19 $70 −$70 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5PM ET Jun 18 $70 +$73 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4AM ET Jun 18 $68 +$26 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11PM ET Jun 18 $67 +$27 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET Jun 18 $70 −$70 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8AM ET Jun 17 $70 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4AM ET Jun 17 $70 −$70 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET Jun 17 $70 +$73 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET Jun 16 $70 +$73 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5AM ET Jun 16 $70 +$73 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4AM ET Jun 16 $70 −$70 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7PM ET Jun 16 $70 +$73 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET Jun 15 $58 −$58 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5PM ET Jun 15 $70 −$70 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12PM ET Jun 15 $62 +$32 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11AM ET Jun 15 $70 −$70 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10AM ET Jun 15 $63 −$63 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9AM ET Jun 15 $70 −$70 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET Jun 15 $484 −$25 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $70 +$73 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $59 +$35 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 13 $70 +$73 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $71 +$23 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $221 −$58 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$35 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET Jun 12 $54 +$40 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Jun 11 $55 +$39 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10PM ET Jun 11 $70 +$73 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9PM ET Jun 11 $70 −$70 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET Jun 10 $70 +$73 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $70 −$70 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4AM ET Jun 10 $70 +$73 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Jun 10 $70 +$73 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5PM ET Jun 09 $9 +$10 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4PM ET Jun 09 $70 −$70 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1PM ET Jun 09 $70 +$24 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Jun 09 $221 −$58 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2AM ET Jun 09 $69 +$25 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ET Jun 09 $131 +$10 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET Jun 09 $151 +$12 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6AM ET Jun 09 $63 +$31 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5AM ET Jun 09 $70 −$70 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2AM ET Jun 09 $70 +$73 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9PM ET Jun 09 $54 +$40 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Jun 08 $67 +$27 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $62 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $7 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $43 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $70 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $68 32h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $67 37h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $7 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2174 history records