Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T03:17:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9C 0x9c9c…f560 sports 6 markets active 2h ago coverage 5d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$110 (-0%) realized −$110 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -17% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -42% what you keep after slip
Net edge-42%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4,206per market
Trades / day31.4pace
Fees−$4est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$111
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-24.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -16.7% -24.6% 0% 0% -9.9%
≤30d 6 -16.7% -24.6% 0% 0% -9.9%
≤90d 6 -16.7% -24.6% 0% 0% -9.9%
all 6 -16.7% -24.6% 0% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover31.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.6% 0% -9.9%
10% -31.8% 0% -18.5%
15% ← realistic here -38.4% 0% -26.4%
20% -44.4% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -17% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
12.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$18 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$110
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 6
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage5d
Avg bet$4,206
Trades / day31.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 6 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) Jun 29 $11,657 $0 -0%
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 1.5 Jun 27 $112 −$110 -98%
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Jun 27 $3,997 $0 -0%
Spread: Egypt (-4.5) Jun 26 $4,732 $0 -0%
Spread: Sweden (-4.5) Jun 25 $2,741 $0 -0%
Spread: Switzerland (-4.5) Jun 24 $2,000 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 2h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 2h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) SELL Morocco 100¢ $486 16h
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5) BUY Morocco 100¢ $486 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 147 history records