Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T16:42:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9C 0x9cad…fa3f crypto 96 markets active 1h ago coverage 4d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 4d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (763 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$1,490 (+17%) realized +$1,490 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -70% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -77% what you keep after slip
Net edge-77%after slip
Net WR13%break-even
Win rate13%71W / 467L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$92per market
Trades / day763.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1,827now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$5,377
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (763 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-72.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 538 -69.6% -72.5% 13% 13% -66.1%
≤30d 538 -69.6% -72.5% 13% 13% -66.1%
≤90d 538 -69.6% -72.5% 13% 13% -66.1%
all 538 -69.6% -72.5% 13% 13% -66.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover763.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -72.5% 13% -66.1%
10% ← realistic here -75.1% 12% -69.4%
15% -77.5% 11% -72.3%
20% -79.7% 10% -75.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -63% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -70% · $-wt -63% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -65% → late -74% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
35.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$116 vs −$64 · ×1.79 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.27 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$1,827
Realized+$1,490
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses71 / 467
Open positions0
Markets (closed)538 / 96
History coverage4d ⚠
Avg bet$92
Trades / day763.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 538 Trades
no open positions (457 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $156 +$61 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $108 +$33 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $85 +$36 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 16 $82 +$29 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $86 +$13 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $55 +$43 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $80 +$18 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $74 +$23 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $56 +$41 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $60 +$38 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $129 −$129 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $24 +$25 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $27 +$22 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $27 +$23 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $26 +$23 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $22 +$50 +230%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$29 +733%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$7 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$18 +226%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $85 −$85 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $12 +$8 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$6 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$6 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$5 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$4 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $111 −$111 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$3 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$3 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$5 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $196 −$196 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $401 −$401 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $53 −$53 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,826.84 · official $1,826.84 (match) · 3500 history records