Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:18:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9cb3…1367
other · 459 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$978 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,203 · open −$1,319
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12,277
Realized+$1,203
Unrealized−$1,319
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses186 / 62
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions463
Markets (closed)248 / 459
History coverage1d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day3488.0
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 463 History 248 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,203
7 days+$1,203
14 days+$1,203
30 days+$1,203
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? No 84¢ 74¢ $151 $132 −$19 (-13%)
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No 79¢ 66¢ $158 $131 −$27 (-17%)
Will Curaçao finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 92¢ 90¢ $110 $107 −$3 (-3%)
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No 95¢ 94¢ $80 $80 −$1 (-1%)
Will the Republican Party win the FL-17 House seat? Yes 88¢ 88¢ $79 $79 +$0 (+0%)
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? Yes 37¢ 43¢ $67 $77 +$11 (+16%)
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in June? No 96¢ 94¢ $78 $77 −$1 (-2%)
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting? No 75¢ 75¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+0%)
Arcium FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 91¢ 91¢ $68 $68 −$0 (-0%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June? No 95¢ 82¢ $70 $61 −$9 (-13%)
Will LeBron James buy the Seattle Seahawks? No 98¢ 97¢ $59 $58 −$0 (-1%)
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.1B? Yes 96¢ 96¢ $58 $57 −$0 (-1%)
Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 NL Central title? No 93¢ 94¢ $56 $57 +$1 (+1%)
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup? No 64¢ 64¢ $56 $56 +$0 (+1%)
Will Tim Cook buy the Seattle Seahawks? No 89¢ 94¢ $54 $56 +$3 (+5%)
Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches? No 94¢ 93¢ $56 $56 −$0 (-1%)
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026? No 92¢ 93¢ $55 $56 +$1 (+1%)
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 94¢ 92¢ $57 $56 −$1 (-2%)
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No 91¢ 94¢ $54 $55 +$2 (+3%)
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No 91¢ 90¢ $55 $54 −$0 (-1%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? Yes 61¢ 46¢ $70 $54 −$17 (-23%)
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No 94¢ 88¢ $57 $52 −$4 (-7%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June? No 97¢ 96¢ $53 $52 −$0 (-0%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? No 85¢ 83¢ $54 $52 −$2 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 12? No 95¢ 86¢ $57 $52 −$5 (-9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 +$7 +80%
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31? Jun 12 $10 +$18 +180%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 12 $68 +$2 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $28 +$35 +127%
Will Ivory Coast reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $32 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 $0 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? Jun 12 $27 +$13 +50%
Will "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Will G2 Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026? Jun 12 $20 +$25 +122%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 13? Jun 12 $13 −$1 -7%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? Jun 12 $49 +$1 +2%
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -55%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 13? Jun 12 $3 $0 -7%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on Ju Jun 12 $92 +$2 +2%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 12 $852 +$35 +4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$24 +124280%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 12? Jun 12 $4 −$3 -74%
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? Jun 12 $2 +$2 +120%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 13? Jun 12 $6 −$4 -67%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? Jun 12 $58 +$2 +4%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 12? Jun 12 $21 +$1 +4%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? Jun 12 $33 +$3 +10%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 12 $103 −$1 -1%
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? Jun 12 $106 +$20 +19%
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 12 $7 −$4 -57%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 12 $218 −$6 -3%
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO Jun 12 $183 −$18 -10%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $219 −$23 -11%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13? Jun 12 $4 −$3 -77%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $400? Jun 12 $275 +$2 +1%
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June? Jun 12 $7 −$2 -34%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 14? Jun 12 $11 −$5 -45%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $405? Jun 12 $38 +$2 +5%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30? Jun 12 $57 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on Jun Jun 12 $5 +$3 +66%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 13? Jun 12 $5 −$3 -66%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? Jun 12 $89 +$1 +1%
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $14 +$3 +22%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14? Jun 12 $21 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 12 $7 +$6 +83%
Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $36 +$1 +2%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $27 $0 +1%
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +41%
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? Jun 12 $59 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? Jun 12 $60 +$3 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% −$840
world 14% +$29
weather 12% +$210
tech 12% +$94
finance 10% +$264
politics 3% +$109
sports 1% +$12
culture 0% +$5
crypto 0% +$1
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 12? SELL Yes 15¢ $9 0m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 12? SELL Yes 18¢ $10 0m
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31? SELL Yes 69¢ $3 0m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju SELL Yes 7¢ $2 1m
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $1 1m
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $37 1m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 12? SELL No 52¢ $5 1m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on June 12? SELL Yes 84¢ $2 1m
Will Ivory Coast reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 96¢ $4 2m
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? BUY No 66¢ $1 2m
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? BUY No 66¢ $0 2m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17? SELL Yes 58¢ $17 2m
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 93¢ $13 2m
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 2m
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 2m
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 2m
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 2m
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 2m
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 7¢ $2 3m
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47 BUY No 62¢ $16 3m
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? SELL No 70¢ $20 3m
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 60¢ $18 4m
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? BUY No 67¢ $10 4m
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? BUY No 67¢ $9 4m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju BUY Yes 5¢ $2 5m
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 16¢ $0 5m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 12? SELL No 50¢ $1 6m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 12? SELL No 49¢ $8 6m
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 16¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+85.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 248 +104.7% +85.2% 75% 40% +1.0%
≤30d 248 +104.7% +85.2% 75% 40% +1.0%
≤90d 248 +104.7% +85.2% 75% 40% +1.0%
all 248 +104.7% +85.2% 75% 40% +1.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3488.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +85.2% 40% +1.0%
10% ← realistic here +67.5% 31% -8.6%
15% +51.3% 28% -17.5%
20% +36.5% 25% -25.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12,276.76 · official $15,682.47 · 3500 history records