Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:07:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9cb4…0201
crypto · 201 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$2,365 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,365 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,365
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses94 / 107
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$236
Open positions0
Markets (closed)201 / 201
History coverage250d
Avg bet$99
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 201 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$543
7 days−$185
14 days−$375
30 days−$390
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D GenOne 42¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 51¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 G2 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Vitality 54¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs ex-Zero Tenacity 42¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 49¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $141 +$67 +48%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $122 +$83 +68%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $122 +$108 +88%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $122 +$100 +82%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $122 −$70 -58%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $122 −$120 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $126 +$77 +61%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 11 $122 −$13 -10%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $122 +$118 +97%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $127 −$101 -79%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $152 −$7 -5%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $71 +$78 +109%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $122 +$114 +93%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $240 +$82 +34%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $129 +$79 +62%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $122 +$139 +114%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $71 −$52 -73%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $127 −$59 -47%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $112 −$110 -99%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $122 +$105 +86%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $127 +$39 +31%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) Jun 10 $76 +$74 +97%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $132 −$56 -42%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $122 −$31 -26%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 10 $97 −$61 -62%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $121 +$65 +54%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 10 $127 −$125 -99%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $126 −$100 -79%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 10 $122 +$61 +50%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $214 −$3 -1%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $122 +$73 +60%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $153 −$16 -10%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $126 +$61 +48%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $142 −$40 -28%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $203 −$18 -9%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $1,474 −$548 -37%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Clutchain - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $150 −$10 -7%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $304 +$100 +33%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $51 −$22 -43%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $152 −$87 -57%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $152 −$73 -48%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $102 −$35 -35%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $100 −$41 -41%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $568 −$57 -10%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $86 +$73 +84%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $122 +$98 +81%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $63 +$33 +53%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BIG Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $7 −$6 -76%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Grou Jun 07 $71 −$32 -45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% −$1,412
crypto 21% −$910
weather 3% +$6
other 2% −$64
politics 0% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $209 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 67¢ $141 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $205 4h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY GenOne 42¢ $102 5h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner SELL Virtus.pro 99¢ $230 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $222 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 58¢ $122 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 19¢ $52 5h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 52¢ $122 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 49¢ $122 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 43¢ $122 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $122 6h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 SELL Under 99¢ $203 19h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series SELL Virtus.pro 46¢ $109 19h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY Virtus.pro 50¢ $122 19h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 61¢ $126 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 50¢ $122 21h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 10¢ $26 22h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 46¢ $127 23h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Kansas City Royals 51¢ $145 24h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 52¢ $152 25h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $149 25h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 47¢ $71 27h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 93¢ $208 27h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 51¢ $122 28h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 57¢ $129 29h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 74¢ $240 29h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 100¢ $261 29h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Legacy 14¢ $19 29h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 25¢ $68 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 +1.5% -8.1% 43% 43% -11.1%
≤30d 60 -5.2% -14.2% 38% 38% -13.4%
≤90d 171 -6.9% -15.8% 46% 40% -18.2%
all 201 -5.4% -14.4% 47% 40% -19.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.4% 40% -19.8%
10% -22.6% 34% -27.4%
15% -30.1% 29% -34.4%
20% -36.9% 24% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 509 history records