Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:19:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9cb9…32f2
sports · 85 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$174,655 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$176,287 · open +$1,633
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$65,764
Realized−$176,287
Unrealized+$1,633
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses28 / 53
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Est. fees paid−$9,872
Open positions4
Markets (closed)81 / 85
Avg bet$7,346
Trades / day260.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 4 History 81 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$100,269
7 days−$141,151
14 days−$176,287
30 days−$176,287
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 46¢ $58,749 $58,124 −$625 (-1%)
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5) Giron 55¢ 98¢ $3,049 $5,429 +$2,380 (+78%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 40¢ 38¢ $2,000 $1,875 −$125 (-6%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score No 54¢ 55¢ $333 $336 +$3 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $3,470 −$3,456 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $38,623 −$38,623 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $48,799 −$48,799 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3,680 +$4,320 +117%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4,038 −$4,038 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $206 −$206 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2,800 +$2,195 +78%
Humbert vs. Bonzi: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 11 $345 +$326 +94%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $3,803 −$3,803 -100%
Shuai Zhang vs. Alexandra Eala: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $381 −$381 -100%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 10 $8,640 −$4,860 -56%
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 10 $2,600 −$2,600 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $2,455 −$2,455 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $600 −$600 -100%
Virtanen vs. Majchrzak: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 10 $3,236 +$2,711 +84%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $32,067 +$69,552 +217%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $603 −$603 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $3,123 −$3,123 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 09 $600 −$600 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $2,174 −$2,174 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $5,207 −$5,207 -100%
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 09 $14,101 −$14,101 -100%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $8,050 +$6,950 +86%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $2,880 +$5,120 +178%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $363 −$363 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $8,433 −$8,433 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $3,571 −$3,571 -100%
Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5) Jun 08 $9,778 −$331 -3%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $474 +$754 +159%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $8,500 +$11,000 +129%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $6,740 −$3,427 -51%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $7,127 −$2,849 -40%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $636 −$636 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5,275 −$5,275 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $4,191 −$4,191 -100%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3,204 −$3,204 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $6,031 −$6,031 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $2,714 −$2,714 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 08 $21,222 −$13,032 -61%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $1,533 +$2,267 +148%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2,100 +$900 +43%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $37,323 −$37,319 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $6,354 −$6,354 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2,775 −$2,775 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $15,696 −$15,264 -97%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 06 $2,500 +$2,500 +100%
Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5) Jun 05 $1,650 +$1,350 +82%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $337 +$663 +197%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $412 −$412 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $2,881 +$3,119 +108%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% −$120,341
other 19% −$54,314
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 40¢ $2,000 16m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $166 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $3 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $22 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $87 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $44 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $2 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $6 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $3 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $9,400 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $22,564 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $9 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $17 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $22 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $4 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $4 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $87 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $12 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $30 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $36 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $17 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $13 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $4 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $9 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $32 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $44 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $11 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $47 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $1 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $4 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-27.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -30.5% -37.1% 29% 29% -45.3%
≤30d 81 -19.5% -27.1% 35% 35% -38.0%
≤90d 81 -19.5% -27.1% 35% 35% -38.0%
all 81 -19.5% -27.1% 35% 35% -38.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover260.5 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.1% 35% -38.0%
10% -34.1% 35% -43.9%
15% ← realistic here -40.5% 35% -49.3%
20% -46.3% 32% -54.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $65,764.09 · official $65,764.09 (match) · 3500 history records