Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:26:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9cbe…9e60
crypto · 323 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$286 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$306 · open −$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$306
Unrealized−$21
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses173 / 149
Open positions1
Markets (closed)322 / 323
History coverage5d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day118.7
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 1 History 322 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$220
7 days+$306
14 days+$306
30 days+$306
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$6 +490%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% +$330
other 5% −$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $20 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 322 +0.3% -9.3% 54% 45% -18.1%
≤30d 322 +0.3% -9.3% 54% 45% -18.1%
≤90d 322 +0.3% -9.3% 54% 45% -18.1%
all 322 +0.3% -9.3% 54% 45% -18.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover118.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 45% -18.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 42% -25.9%
15% -25.9% 38% -33.1%
20% -33.2% 32% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.14 · official $0.14 (match) · 857 history records