Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:15:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9cbf…a8a8
crypto · 411 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$647 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$660 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$79
Realized+$660
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses226 / 183
Open positions2
Markets (closed)409 / 411
History coverage1d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day2157.3
Drawdown76%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 409 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$660
7 days+$660
14 days+$660
30 days+$660
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 66¢ 100¢ $20 $31 +$10 (+51%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 0¢ 50¢ $0 $30 +$30 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 47¢ 50¢ $17 $18 +$1 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $125 −$5 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $47 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $223 −$6 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $66 −$6 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $89 +$17 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $77 +$13 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $66 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $70 −$9 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$12 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$34 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $73 −$13 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$5 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$37 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $60 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $67 −$6 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$21 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $102 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $76 −$15 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$9 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$9 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$7 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$18 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $126 +$12 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$10 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $57 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$12 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $70 −$9 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$9 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $60 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$16 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$11 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $57 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $135 +$12 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$16 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $62 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$20 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $91 +$11 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$647
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $17 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $21 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $14 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $25 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $13 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $6 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $7 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $14 13m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 409 +0.6% -9.0% 55% 37% -6.7%
≤30d 409 +0.6% -9.0% 55% 37% -6.7%
≤90d 409 +0.6% -9.0% 55% 37% -6.7%
all 409 +0.6% -9.0% 55% 37% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2157.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 37% -6.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 22% -15.6%
15% -25.7% 16% -23.7%
20% -33.0% 12% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $78.95 · official $78.52 (match) · 3500 history records