Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:07:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9cc6…076e
crypto · 1330 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,051 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,051 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$94
Realized−$1,051
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses529 / 777
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1306 / 1330
History coverage32d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day69.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 1306 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$294
7 days−$559
14 days−$652
30 days−$1,093
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 8¢ 100¢ $5 $66 +$61 (+1218%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 93¢ 100¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) Chicago Cubs 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Los Angeles Dodgers 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$61 +1133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$5 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$20 -129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$1,033
sports 10% −$34
other 1% +$17
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $6 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $8 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-26.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 503 -17.4% -25.3% 34% 29% -16.3%
≤30d 1247 -20.8% -28.4% 40% 32% -18.2%
≤90d 1306 -19.1% -26.8% 41% 34% -17.2%
all 1306 -19.1% -26.8% 41% 34% -17.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.8% 34% -17.2%
10% ← realistic here -33.8% 26% -25.1%
15% -40.2% 20% -32.4%
20% -46.1% 16% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $94.50 · official $94.50 (match) · 3008 history records