Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T06:55:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9cd1…285d
sports · 327 markets active 2h ago
4.0score
+$97,573 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$97,524 · open +$50
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$5,198
Realized+$97,524
Unrealized+$50
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses171 / 155
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$15,461
Open positions1
Markets (closed)326 / 327
Avg bet$3,199
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown66%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 326 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$30,752
7 days+$37,767
14 days+$41,021
30 days+$100,251
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 52¢ 52¢ $5,148 $5,198 +$50 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,037 −$2,037 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $6,167 +$8,387 +136%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3,106 +$2,894 +93%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3,233 +$3,067 +95%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) Jun 11 $931 +$869 +93%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $2,498 +$8,002 +320%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $4,430 +$9,570 +216%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $1,211 −$1,211 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $2,287 −$2,287 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $2,309 +$1,691 +73%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1,710 −$1,710 -100%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $6,034 −$6,034 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $12,221 +$13,927 +114%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $2,036 −$2,036 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $304 −$304 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 08 $10,158 −$10,158 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,470 +$1,530 +104%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $15,041 +$15,813 +105%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5,423 −$5,423 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $3,682 −$3,682 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $14,835 −$14,835 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $6,495 +$12,605 +194%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $4,121 −$4,121 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $6,523 +$7,706 +118%
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5) Jun 05 $6,290 −$6,290 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $6,333 +$9,350 +148%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $3,840 +$2,484 +65%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 05 $1,792 −$1,792 -100%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $4,900 −$4,900 -100%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $4,808 −$4,808 -100%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 04 $1,031 −$1,031 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $2,270 −$2,270 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $2,431 −$2,431 -100%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 4 Winner Jun 04 $1,199 +$799 +67%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $3,958 +$1,987 +50%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $2,687 +$2,313 +86%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $3,937 +$4,301 +109%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $5,940 +$4,060 +68%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $3,086 −$3,086 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 04 $8,222 −$8,222 -100%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $9,983 −$9,983 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $6,070 +$10,030 +165%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 4 Winner Jun 03 $600 +$400 +67%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $18,186 +$11,429 +63%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 02 $1,572 +$2,128 +135%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $8,825 −$8,825 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $8,548 −$8,548 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $9,900 +$10,408 +105%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $687 +$313 +46%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $9,875 +$8,055 +82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$108,934
crypto 1% −$10,976
other 0% −$384
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $5,222 1h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali SELL LOS 62¢ $294 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali SELL LOS 67¢ $77 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali SELL LOS 67¢ $123 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali SELL LOS 67¢ $60 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 33¢ $11 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 33¢ $12 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 33¢ $1 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 33¢ $166 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 33¢ $96 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 42¢ $5,037 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 42¢ $84 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 42¢ $24 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 42¢ $84 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 42¢ $10 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 42¢ $4 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 42¢ $13 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 42¢ $126 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 42¢ $21 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 42¢ $14 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 42¢ $84 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 42¢ $21 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 42¢ $84 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 42¢ $62 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 42¢ $4 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 42¢ $18 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 42¢ $42 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 42¢ $84 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 42¢ $6 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 42¢ $42 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-3.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +21.3% +9.7% 52% 52% +15.8%
≤30d 232 +8.1% -2.2% 53% 52% +1.7%
≤90d 323 +6.8% -3.4% 52% 51% -1.0%
all 326 +6.6% -3.5% 52% 51% -1.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.5% 51% -1.0%
10% ← realistic here -12.8% 50% -10.5%
15% -21.2% 48% -19.2%
20% -28.9% 46% -27.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,197.50 · official $5,197.50 (match) · 2173 history records