Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:28:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9cdd…3e97
other · 736 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$53,530 +26%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19,731 · open −$277
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$55,868
Realized+$19,731
Unrealized−$277
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses457 / 190
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$155
Open positions267
Markets (closed)647 / 736
History coverage44d
Avg bet$280
Trades / day66.5
Drawdown49%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 267 History 647 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17,622
7 days−$13,070
14 days−$10,192
30 days+$8,082
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC? Yes 97¢ 99¢ $6,597 $6,744 +$146 (+2%)
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $5,793 $5,735 −$58 (-1%)
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 63¢ 89¢ $2,321 $3,266 +$945 (+41%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Yes 71¢ 80¢ $1,672 $1,877 +$204 (+12%)
Will Jeff Hurd be the Republican nominee for CO-03? Yes 97¢ 97¢ $1,696 $1,706 +$10 (+1%)
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 6¢ 7¢ $984 $1,176 +$192 (+19%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 95¢ 100¢ $1,016 $1,065 +$48 (+5%)
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes 66¢ 81¢ $863 $1,055 +$192 (+22%)
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 63¢ 80¢ $818 $1,038 +$221 (+27%)
Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks? No 76¢ 94¢ $692 $846 +$154 (+22%)
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next? Yes 60¢ 77¢ $666 $846 +$180 (+27%)
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026? Yes 96¢ 98¢ $782 $799 +$17 (+2%)
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June? Yes 79¢ 92¢ $660 $767 +$106 (+16%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes 76¢ 72¢ $789 $751 −$38 (-5%)
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 72¢ 76¢ $678 $721 +$43 (+6%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 6¢ 8¢ $487 $701 +$214 (+44%)
Iran leadership change by June 30? No 93¢ 97¢ $626 $653 +$27 (+4%)
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? Yes 80¢ 90¢ $545 $613 +$69 (+13%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 62¢ 61¢ $626 $611 −$16 (-2%)
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes 85¢ 94¢ $509 $560 +$51 (+10%)
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in June? Yes 100¢ 98¢ $528 $522 −$6 (-1%)
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 77¢ 76¢ $483 $480 −$2 (-0%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? Yes 60¢ 67¢ $429 $479 +$50 (+12%)
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026? Yes 72¢ 93¢ $362 $465 +$104 (+29%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 83¢ 90¢ $373 $403 +$30 (+8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
Will Baltimore Ravens draft Makai Lemon in the 2026 pro football draft Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by Januar Jun 14 $102 −$212 -208%
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers Jun 14 $61 −$61 -100%
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025? Jun 14 $1,132 −$1,280 -113%
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 8, 2026 Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Will TreVeyon Henderson record the most rushing yards by a rookie runn Jun 14 $204 −$210 -103%
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026? Jun 14 $58 +$93 +161%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17? Jun 14 $117 −$117 -100%
Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2025? Jun 14 $303 −$369 -122%
Commanders vs. Giants Jun 14 $168 −$168 -100%
Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? Jun 14 $7 −$141 -2156%
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Canucks vs. Avalanche Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? Jun 14 $394 −$394 -100%
Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA seas Jun 14 $187 −$187 -100%
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026? Jun 14 $86 −$229 -266%
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North? Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25? Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Garett Bolles win the NFL Protector of the Year? Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Patriots vs. Ravens Jun 14 $643 −$643 -100%
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15? Jun 14 $1,045 −$1,045 -100%
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026? Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Jalen Duren win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player? Jun 14 $235 −$247 -105%
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026? Jun 14 $70 −$86 -122%
Ukraine election called in 2025? Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
Will David Bailey be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft? Jun 14 $258 −$258 -100%
Miami vs. Ohio State Jun 14 $435 −$435 -100%
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Car Jun 14 $179 −$179 -100%
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Car Jun 14 $55 −$55 -100%
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA seaso Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
Will Carter Bryant win the 2026 NBA dunk contest? Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? Jun 14 $0 −$21 -7457%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Trump say "Largest inflation" or "Worst inflation" during CNBC: S Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougars Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $99 −$99 -100%
Stars vs. Sharks Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31? Jun 14 $642 −$642 -100%
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31? Jun 14 $8 −$327 -4118%
Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28? Jun 14 $86 −$86 -100%
Will Francis Mauigoa be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01? Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 11? Jun 14 $4 +$2 +46%
Lakers vs. Pistons Jun 14 $59 −$59 -100%
Exact Score: Burnley FC 0 - 1 Manchester City FC? Jun 14 $179 −$179 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 33% +$5,057
politics 26% +$9,742
world 21% −$3,692
sports 18% +$22,708
economics 2% +$3,455
tech 0% +$8
culture 0% +$9
weather 0% +$71
finance 0% −$1
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 100¢ $150 41m
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 100¢ $10 43m
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 100¢ $50 43m
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 46m
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 58m
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 99¢ $108 58m
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) BUY Knicks 99¢ $109 58m
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) BUY Knicks 98¢ $10 59m
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 99¢ $178 59m
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 99¢ $163 59m
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 97¢ $35 1h
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) BUY Knicks 98¢ $10 1h
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) BUY Knicks 98¢ $10 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 94¢ $47 1h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 92¢ $111 1h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 92¢ $100 1h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 94¢ $65 1h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 92¢ $11 1h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 92¢ $27 1h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 92¢ $54 1h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 91¢ $46 1h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 91¢ $27 1h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 91¢ $27 1h
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $15 3h
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026? BUY Yes 98¢ $158 3h
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June? BUY Yes 91¢ $91 4h
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June? BUY Yes 95¢ $24 4h
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? SELL No 70¢ $137 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 78¢ $0 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 78¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 228 -35.9% -42.0% 49% 17% -23.1%
≤30d 545 -10.5% -19.1% 68% 22% -1.4%
≤90d 647 +1.1% -8.6% 71% 24% +2.4%
all 647 +1.1% -8.6% 71% 24% +2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 24% +2.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 13% -7.4%
15% -25.3% 9% -16.3%
20% -32.6% 6% -24.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55,867.71 · official $55,867.39 (match) · 3500 history records