Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:35:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9C
0x9ce3…d60b
crypto · 1059 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$43 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$113 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$113
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses549 / 510
Est. fees paid−$32
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1059 / 1059
History coverage184d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day11.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 1059 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$19
14 days−$27
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand Jun 13 $4 +$3 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$10 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +32%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -93%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +107%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -28%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 +$3 +250%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -91%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +137%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +225%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +77%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 64% −$57
sports 36% −$47
other 1% −$5
weather 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 31¢ $7 13h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 17¢ $4 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $4 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $13 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 24h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 24h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 144 -7.1% -15.9% 53% 49% -17.0%
≤30d 360 -4.0% -13.1% 54% 51% -11.8%
≤90d 933 -5.1% -14.2% 50% 46% -15.3%
all 1059 -2.8% -12.0% 52% 47% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.0% 47% -11.9%
10% -20.5% 41% -20.4%
15% -28.1% 33% -28.1%
20% -35.2% 24% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2630 history records