trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | +11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -81% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $4 | −$2 | -67% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $3 | +$4 | +166% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $3 | +$10 | +387% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $3 | −$1 | -33% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $1 | +$3 | +220% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 10? | Jun 10 | $2 | −$2 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 10? | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | -38% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +22.1% | +10.4% | 33% | 33% | +12.9% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +22.1% | +10.4% | 33% | 33% | +12.9% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +22.1% | +10.4% | 33% | 33% | +12.9% |
| all | 12 | +22.1% | +10.4% | 33% | 33% | +12.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +10.4% | 33% | +12.9% |
| 10% | -0.1% | 25% | +2.1% |
| 15% | -9.8% | 25% | -7.7% |
| 20% | -18.6% | 25% | -16.8% |