Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:36:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9d18…b44a
crypto · 664 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$115 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$111 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$111
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses643 / 21
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)664 / 664
History coverage388d
Avg bet$93
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 664 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$58
7 days−$58
14 days−$58
30 days−$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ goals + assists No 100¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hakan Çalhanoğlu: 2+ shots on target Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Will Robert Horry attend Game 5 of the NBA Finals? Jun 14 $49 $0 +1%
İsmail Yüksek: 2+ shots Jun 14 $14 $0 +0%
Will Chris Rock attend Game 5 of the NBA Finals? Jun 14 $58 +$1 +1%
Barış Alper Yılmaz: 1+ goals + assists Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Zeki Çelik: 1+ goals + assists Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu: 3+ goals + assists Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Zeki Çelik: 3+ goals + assists Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Merih Demiral: 3+ goals + assists Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Mo Touré: 4+ goals + assists Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Johan Manzambi: 1+ shots on target Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots on target Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 Corners Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ goals + assists Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Gabriel Martinelli: 1+ goals + assists Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Gabriel Martinelli: 3+ shots on target Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Gatorian - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $400 $0 +0%
Weston McKennie: 1+ shots on target Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Mauricio Magalhães: 1+ shots on target Jun 13 $50 $0 +0%
FC Inter Turku vs. AC Oulu: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $20 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $400 $0 +0%
Weckerle vs. Steiner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $8 $0 +0%
Juan Cáceres: 1+ goals + assists Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Antonee Robinson: 1+ goals + assists Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Antonio Sanabria: 1+ goals + assists Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Diego Gómez: 2+ shots on target Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Sergiño Dest: 1+ assists Jun 13 $44 $0 +0%
Weston McKennie: 2+ shots on target Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Christian Pulisic: 2+ shots Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8) Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Damián Bobadilla: 1+ goals + assists Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Damián Bobadilla: 1+ assists Jun 13 $20 $0 +0%
Christian Pulisic: 3+ shots on target Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Christian Pulisic: 1+ shots on target Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Antonio Sanabria: 1+ shots Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Antonio Sanabria: 4+ shots Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will the announcers say "Hat Trick" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Wo Jun 13 $21 $0 +0%
Antonio Sanabria: 2+ goals + assists Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Sergiño Dest: 3+ goals + assists Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Mauricio Magalhães: 2+ goals + assists Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
A.J. Ewing: Home Runs O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $14 $0 +0%
Jimmy Crooks: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $14 $0 +0%
Sato vs. Nishimura: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $20 $0 +0%
Julio César Enciso: 2+ goals + assists Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Gustavo Caballero: 3+ shots on target Jun 13 $44 $0 +0%
Damián Bobadilla: 4+ goals + assists Jun 13 $44 $0 +0%
Ermedin Demirović: 1+ shots on target Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ shots Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ shots on target Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $500 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% −$42
sports 11% +$65
other 11% −$109
politics 3% −$29
world 2% +$2
weather 1% +$1
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hakan Çalhanoğlu: 2+ shots on target BUY Yes 100¢ $30 1h
İsmail Yüksek: 2+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $14 2h
Will Robert Horry attend Game 5 of the NBA Finals? BUY No 99¢ $49 2h
Will Chris Rock attend Game 5 of the NBA Finals? BUY No 99¢ $58 2h
Barış Alper Yılmaz: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $30 3h
Merih Demiral: 3+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $30 3h
Kerem Aktürkoğlu: 3+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $30 3h
Mo Touré: 4+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $30 3h
Zeki Çelik: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $30 3h
Zeki Çelik: 3+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $30 3h
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $30 7h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 Corners BUY Under 100¢ $60 8h
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $30 9h
Gabriel Martinelli: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $30 9h
Gabriel Martinelli: 3+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $30 9h
Johan Manzambi: 1+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $30 9h
FC Inter Turku vs. AC Oulu: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $20 19h
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Gatorian - Map 2 Winner BUY Gatorian 100¢ $400 20h
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies - Map 2 Winner BUY Metizport 100¢ $400 21h
Weckerle vs. Steiner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $8 23h
Juan Cáceres: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $30 27h
Antonio Sanabria: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $30 27h
Antonee Robinson: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $30 27h
Mauricio Magalhães: 1+ shots on target BUY Yes 100¢ $50 27h
Diego Gómez: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $30 27h
Weston McKennie: 1+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $30 27h
Sergiño Dest: 1+ assists BUY No 100¢ $44 27h
Weston McKennie: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $30 27h
Damián Bobadilla: 1+ assists BUY No 100¢ $20 27h
Christian Pulisic: 2+ shots BUY No 100¢ $30 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -3.9% -13.0% 94% 0% -11.4%
≤30d 50 -3.9% -13.0% 94% 0% -11.4%
≤90d 50 -3.9% -13.0% 94% 0% -11.4%
all 664 -0.2% -9.7% 97% 4% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 4% -9.7%
10% -18.4% 2% -18.3%
15% -26.3% 1% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1604 history records