Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:07:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9d29…5111
crypto · 1238 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,687 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28,910 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$136
Realized−$28,910
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses863 / 617
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1480 / 1238
History coverage123d
Avg bet$242
Trades / day17.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 1480 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18,076
7 days−$18,279
14 days−$18,298
30 days−$18,302
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Germany (-4.5) Curaçao 68¢ 68¢ $135 $136 +$1 (+1%)
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2) India 86¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) FURIA 77¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Will Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $562 $0 −$562 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5) Oh My God 49¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-18? Yes 83¢ 0¢ $208 $0 −$208 (-100%)
CEHL: Plzen vs. Motor Ceske Budejovice Plzen 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bengals vs. Bills Bengals 58¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on May 12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Clippers vs. Hawks Hawks 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Nets vs. 76ers 76ers 79¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Utah vs. Ducks Ducks 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
North Texas vs. Tulane North Texas 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2) Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5) Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-18? Jun 14 $208 −$247 -119%
CEHL: Plzen vs. Motor Ceske Budejovice Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bengals vs. Bills Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $99 −$99 -100%
Clippers vs. Hawks Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Nets vs. 76ers Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Utah vs. Ducks Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
North Texas vs. Tulane Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8AM ET Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Valorant: DRX vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 202 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw? Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Rockets vs. Mavericks Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Jets vs. Canadiens Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-22? Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Utah State Aggies vs. South Florida Bulls Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bulls vs. Nets Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-26? Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Duke vs. Virginia Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Nuggets vs. Mavericks Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Hawks vs. Hornets Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. HC Dynamo Moscow Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-03? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Predators vs. Wild Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$100 +1215%
T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs UAE (Game 1) Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
AHL: Syracuse Crunch vs. Cleveland Monsters Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
CEHL: Trinec vs. Liberec Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Priority (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $126 −$126 -100%
Will Dundee United FC win on 2025-12-27? Jun 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-22? Jun 14 $50 −$49 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1) Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Heat vs. Mavericks Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 30-January 5? Jun 14 $115 −$115 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27? Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Warriors vs. Cavaliers Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 11, 2026? Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Truist Financial (TFC) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 14 $92 −$92 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $68 −$68 -100%
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-03? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $99 −$99 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$10,874
world 6% +$87
economics 4% −$10
other 3% −$217
finance 1% +$70
sports 1% +$25
politics 0% +$497
weather 0% −$272
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Germany (-4.5) BUY Curaçao 68¢ $6 7m
Spread: Germany (-4.5) BUY Curaçao 68¢ $15 8m
Spread: Germany (-4.5) BUY Curaçao 68¢ $15 8m
Spread: Germany (-4.5) BUY Curaçao 68¢ $4 14m
Spread: Germany (-4.5) BUY Curaçao 68¢ $4 14m
Spread: Germany (-4.5) BUY Curaçao 68¢ $12 16m
Spread: Germany (-4.5) BUY Curaçao 68¢ $69 19m
Spread: Germany (-4.5) BUY Curaçao 68¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $25 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $25 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $119 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 92¢ $110 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $56 16h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 58¢ $56 16h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $58 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $56 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $11 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $30 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $25 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $15 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $16 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 26h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 AND Will Canada win on 2026 BUY 27¢ $19 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-27.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 292 -77.3% -79.5% 12% 9% -89.2%
≤30d 324 -70.6% -73.4% 18% 13% -81.6%
≤90d 529 -50.4% -55.1% 35% 24% -56.6%
all 1480 -20.0% -27.6% 58% 37% -17.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.6% 37% -17.2%
10% -34.5% 26% -25.2%
15% -40.9% 19% -32.4%
20% -46.7% 12% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $135.61 · official $135.61 (match) · 3500 history records