trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -32.6% | -39.0% | 50% | 33% | -25.1% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 75% | 42% | -11.8% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +8.3% | -2.0% | 79% | 53% | -6.9% |
| all | 19 | +8.3% | -2.0% | 79% | 53% | -6.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.0% | 53% | -6.9% |
| 10% | -11.4% | 47% | -15.8% |
| 15% | -20.0% | 26% | -23.9% |
| 20% | -27.8% | 21% | -31.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $50 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $81 | +$44 | +55% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 12 | $12 | −$12 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $81 | −$80 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $50 | +$22 | +44% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 11 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Jun 02 | $20 | +$5 | +25% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $20 | +$30 | +150% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | Jun 01 | $50 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | May 29 | $20 | +$3 | +13% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | May 29 | $20 | +$1 | +5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | May 19 | $20 | +$1 | +5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | May 12 | $35 | +$10 | +28% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | May 01 | $10 | +$6 | +64% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | Apr 28 | $10 | +$10 | +104% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Apr 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Apr 25 | $10 | +$2 | +24% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Apr 25 | $10 | +$3 | +32% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Apr 18 | $20 | $0 | +1% |