trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -12.9% | -21.2% | 67% | 39% | -7.8% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -12.9% | -21.2% | 67% | 39% | -7.8% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -12.9% | -21.2% | 67% | 39% | -7.8% |
| all | 23 | -22.9% | -30.2% | 61% | 30% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.2% | 30% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -36.9% | 22% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -43.0% | 17% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -48.6% | 13% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $48 | $55 | +$7 (+15%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 13¢ | $51 | $40 | −$11 (-22%) |
| Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup? | Yes | 39¢ | 38¢ | $8 | $8 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Japan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $6 | $6 | −$1 (-12%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-9%) |
| Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 4¢ | 7¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 (+64%) |
| Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 4¢ | 1¢ | $4 | $1 | −$3 (-82%) |
| Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 4¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-88%) |
| Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 15¢ | 4¢ | $2 | $0 | −$1 (-70%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5 | Jun 17 | $852 | +$45 | +5% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $50 | −$50 | -99% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5 | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $20 | +$13 | +65% |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $20 | +$2 | +12% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $5 | +$6 | +124% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$2 | +24% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $3 | +$1 | +50% |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 | Jun 14 | $30 | +$2 | +7% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $200 | +$15 | +7% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $30 | +$3 | +10% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $401 | +$20 | +5% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $26 | +$4 | +14% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $7 | +$3 | +44% |
| Solana Up or Down - January 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | Jan 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | Jan 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Jan 29 | $19 | +$1 | +6% |
| Xi Jinping out before October? | Oct 03 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok? | Sep 21 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |