Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:50:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9d3e…b736
sports · 4 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
−$1 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)3 / 4
History coverage9d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Spread: China PR (-1.5) China PR 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Germany (-5.5) Jun 14 $1 +$3 +264%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Spread: China PR (-1.5) Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% +$2
crypto 25% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Germany 100¢ $1 45m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Germany 97¢ $1 54m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Germany 59¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 2h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Germany 21¢ $1 3h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 70¢ $1 24h
Spread: China PR (-1.5) BUY China PR 35¢ $1 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+52.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +152.9% +128.8% 100% 100% +129.6%
≤30d 3 +68.6% +52.6% 67% 67% +53.9%
≤90d 3 +68.6% +52.6% 67% 67% +53.9%
all 3 +68.6% +52.6% 67% 67% +53.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +52.6% 67% +53.9%
10% +38.0% 67% +39.1%
15% +24.6% 67% +25.7%
20% +12.4% 33% +13.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.03 · official $1.03 (match) · 8 history records