Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T10:19:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
9D 0x9d4a…c2a6 crypto 622 markets active 3h ago coverage 74d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 73d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$2,898 (+4%) realized +$2,898 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR70%break-even
Win rate90%562W / 60L
Whale WR75%big bets
Drawdown31%max
Avg bet$119per market
Trades / day39.1pace
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$549
7 days+$437
14 days+$687
30 days+$2,858
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% +$3,271
other 6% +$514
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +70%
net ROI/market (all)-4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 +6.2% -3.9% 92% 81% -6.1%
≤30d 336 +5.2% -4.8% 92% 69% -3.8%
≤90d 622 +5.2% -4.8% 90% 70% -4.9%
all 622 +5.2% -4.8% 90% 70% -4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover39.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.8% 70% -4.9%
10% ← realistic here -13.9% 5% -14.0%
15% -22.2% 0% -22.3%
20% -29.8% 0% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 75% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +5% → late +5% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
4.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$17 vs −$99 · ×0.17 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.64 per $1 lost it wins $1.64
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

74d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,898
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses562 / 60
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)622 / 622
History coverage74d ⚠
Avg bet$119
Trades / day39.1
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 622 Trades
no open positions (34 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $44 +$6 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $45 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $136 +$14 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $231 +$69 +30%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $86 +$11 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $90 +$9 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $196 +$26 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $85 +$17 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $218 +$32 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $44 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $48 +$5 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $23 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $127 +$20 +16%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $43 +$7 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $499 +$63 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $783 +$167 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $66 +$12 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $180 +$19 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $133 +$17 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $44 +$5 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $37 +$8 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $196 +$29 +15%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $131 +$19 +15%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$3 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $373 −$223 -60%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $193 +$25 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $67 +$8 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $262 +$38 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $67 +$8 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $354 +$46 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $217 +$33 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $138 −$137 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $44 +$7 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $270 +$30 +11%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $37 +$7 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $239 +$47 +20%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $183 +$22 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$5 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $90 −$89 -99%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $176 +$23 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $395 +$63 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $67 +$8 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $163 +$37 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $356 −$56 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $345 −$344 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$6 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $44 +$6 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $45 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $45 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $44 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $45 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $45 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $128 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $17 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $23 14h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $45 18h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $41 18h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $45 23h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $45 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $41 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $42 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $45 26h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $44 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records