Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9d4f…ab40
sports · 7 markets active 2h ago
7.5score
+$242 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$342 · open −$100
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$342
Realized+$342
Unrealized−$100
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses4 / 0
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions3
Markets (closed)4 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$174
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$342
7 days+$342
14 days+$342
30 days+$342
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 76¢ 66¢ $211 $181 −$29 (-14%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 62¢ 60¢ $124 $121 −$3 (-2%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Leyre Romero Gormaz 56¢ 20¢ $108 $40 −$68 (-63%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $127 +$72 +57%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Karine Sarkisova Jun 12 $172 +$72 +42%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $241 +$109 +46%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe Jun 11 $235 +$88 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$242
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 56¢ $109 1h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva SELL Alexander Shevchenko 100¢ $199 2h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Alexander Shevchenko 63¢ $127 4h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 62¢ $125 5h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Karine Sarkisova SELL Ksenia Zaytseva 99¢ $244 5h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Karine Sarkisova BUY Ksenia Zaytseva 69¢ $172 7h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 69¢ $23 25h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 68¢ $218 25h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe SELL Kamil Majchrzak 100¢ $324 25h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe BUY Kamil Majchrzak 72¢ $235 27h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 76¢ $212 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+31.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +45.5% +31.6% 100% 100% +30.5%
≤30d 4 +45.5% +31.6% 100% 100% +30.5%
≤90d 4 +45.5% +31.6% 100% 100% +30.5%
all 4 +45.5% +31.6% 100% 100% +30.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +31.6% 100% +30.5%
10% +19.0% 100% +18.0%
15% +7.5% 100% +6.6%
20% -3.0% 25% -3.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $341.96 · official $341.96 (match) · 12 history records