Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9d57…56ea
crypto · 108 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$12,658 +55%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11,737 · open −$80
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$897
Realized+$11,737
Unrealized−$80
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses210 / 352
Open positions15
Markets (closed)562 / 108
History coverage1d
Avg bet$214
Trades / day3377.0
Drawdown85%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 15 History 562 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11,737
7 days+$11,737
14 days+$11,737
30 days+$11,737
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 41¢ 28¢ $206 $141 −$65 (-31%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Down 69¢ 96¢ $93 $129 +$36 (+39%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Down 65¢ 80¢ $98 $121 +$23 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 57¢ 72¢ $71 $90 +$19 (+26%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Down 94¢ 98¢ $83 $86 +$4 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Up 49¢ 50¢ $56 $57 +$1 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 54¢ 56¢ $40 $41 +$1 (+3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 44¢ 66¢ $28 $41 +$13 (+48%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 50¢ 56¢ $33 $37 +$4 (+13%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 39¢ 32¢ $36 $30 −$6 (-17%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Up 43¢ 20¢ $62 $28 −$34 (-55%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 69¢ 68¢ $27 $26 −$1 (-2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Up 50¢ 52¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 38¢ 34¢ $13 $12 −$1 (-8%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 44¢ 42¢ $9 $8 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 50¢ 36¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Down 47¢ 50¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+7%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Up 34¢ 4¢ $28 $4 −$25 (-87%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 0¢ 64¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+0%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Up 54¢ 48¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Up 40¢ 2¢ $41 $2 −$39 (-95%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Up 4¢ 2¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-61%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 46¢ 44¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+59%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$43 -8424%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$126 -28048%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +669%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$103 +77185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$54 +121612%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2,998 -2927678%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$303 +267815%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $154 −$154 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$10 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $38 +$291 +763%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$304 +6939%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$120 -330%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $73 +$31 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$109 -824%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$33 -107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$159 -380%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$26 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$82 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$42 +15067%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$45 +127%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $20 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $19 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $7 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)+192.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 562 +223.1% +192.4% 37% 32% +3.3%
≤30d 562 +223.1% +192.4% 37% 32% +3.3%
≤90d 562 +223.1% +192.4% 37% 32% +3.3%
all 562 +223.1% +192.4% 37% 32% +3.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3377.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +192.4% 32% +3.3%
10% ← realistic here +164.4% 30% -6.6%
15% +138.8% 28% -15.6%
20% +115.4% 26% -23.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $897.14 · official $891.01 (match) · 3500 history records