Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:17:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9d69…ab3a
crypto · 845 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$70 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,275 · open +$1,594
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$62,726
Realized−$1,275
Unrealized+$1,594
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses432 / 217
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$110
Open positions295
Markets (closed)649 / 845
History coverage39d
Avg bet$283
Trades / day72.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 295 History 649 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,062
7 days−$1,516
14 days−$2,832
30 days−$3,421
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No 87¢ 90¢ $2,119 $2,216 +$97 (+5%)
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? No 94¢ 97¢ $1,980 $2,043 +$63 (+3%)
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No 86¢ 88¢ $1,977 $2,028 +$50 (+3%)
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No 92¢ 94¢ $1,940 $1,984 +$44 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $1,960 $1,983 +$23 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No 94¢ 98¢ $1,780 $1,848 +$69 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No 92¢ 94¢ $1,565 $1,598 +$33 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No 76¢ 84¢ $1,358 $1,517 +$159 (+12%)
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No 94¢ 96¢ $1,410 $1,442 +$32 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? No 99¢ 100¢ $1,335 $1,351 +$16 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No 90¢ 94¢ $1,248 $1,311 +$63 (+5%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No 95¢ 99¢ $1,177 $1,223 +$46 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? No 97¢ 99¢ $974 $988 +$14 (+1%)
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No 91¢ 92¢ $960 $981 +$21 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No 62¢ 74¢ $811 $956 +$145 (+18%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 78¢ 78¢ $936 $942 +$6 (+1%)
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No 88¢ 92¢ $895 $941 +$46 (+5%)
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 8-14? No 100¢ 100¢ $887 $887 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 90¢ 95¢ $806 $854 +$48 (+6%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? No 97¢ 99¢ $821 $839 +$18 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? No 96¢ 98¢ $767 $786 +$19 (+2%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No 93¢ 99¢ $681 $729 +$48 (+7%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 18? Yes 100¢ 99¢ $697 $690 −$7 (-1%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 78¢ 98¢ $518 $648 +$130 (+25%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June? No 99¢ 100¢ $611 $619 +$8 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $400 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $28 +$2 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? Jun 12 $55 +$2 +4%
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $47 +$13 +29%
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $91 +$9 +10%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $2,553 −$78 -3%
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? Jun 12 $257 +$14 +5%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $1,371 −$43 -3%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $92 +$8 +8%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 12 $135 −$9 -7%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 11 $242 −$96 -40%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Jun 11 $119 −$82 -69%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? Jun 11 $214 −$50 -24%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? Jun 11 $87 −$26 -30%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 11 $94 −$44 -46%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 11 $180 −$30 -17%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Jun 11 $344 −$40 -12%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $755 +$19 +2%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? Jun 11 $857 −$385 -45%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 11 $598 −$135 -23%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $699 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $585 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +18%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $915 +$5 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $106 +$2 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $596 +$4 +1%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? Jun 11 $175 −$22 -13%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Jun 11 $589 −$44 -8%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 11 $782 −$70 -9%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? Jun 11 $109 −$30 -27%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 11 $364 −$73 -20%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Jun 11 $426 −$16 -4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $199 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $79 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $146 +$4 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $99 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $96 +$4 +4%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $210 +$54 +26%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5 Jun 11 $8 +$2 +22%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5 Jun 11 $9 +$1 +12%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $32 +$18 +57%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $37 +$63 +172%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $98 −$98 -100%
Will Chris Rock attend Game 4 of the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Larry David attend Game 4 of the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $26 −$26 -99%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $1 +$5 +474%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% +$2,634
world 13% −$1,928
other 7% +$337
finance 5% +$243
sports 5% −$833
politics 1% −$153
tech 0% +$21
culture 0% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 47¢ $47 30m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 68¢ $69 44m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 77¢ $30 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 77¢ $50 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 86¢ $20 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 86¢ $60 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 86¢ $30 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 42¢ $31 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 54¢ $115 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $48 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 54¢ $20 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 99¢ $99 2h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? BUY Yes 75¢ $300 7h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? BUY Yes 65¢ $130 7h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 78¢ $156 7h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? BUY Yes 64¢ $90 7h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? BUY Yes 74¢ $290 7h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? BUY Yes 74¢ $6 7h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 84¢ $367 7h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 78¢ $468 8h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 78¢ $312 8h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 60¢ $18 9h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $132 12h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 98¢ $461 12h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 99¢ $270 13h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $45 17h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $400 17h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $395 17h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $98 17h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $98 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+2.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 209 -9.3% -17.9% 58% 33% -13.9%
≤30d 551 -2.9% -12.1% 63% 24% -11.4%
≤90d 649 +13.2% +2.4% 67% 25% -10.4%
all 649 +13.2% +2.4% 67% 25% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover72.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.4% 25% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -7.4% 16% -18.9%
15% -16.3% 10% -26.8%
20% -24.5% 8% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $62,725.74 · official $62,722.94 (match) · 3500 history records