trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -42.7% | -48.1% | 23% | 23% | -47.1% |
| ≤30d | 26 | -22.7% | -30.1% | 31% | 31% | -16.7% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -22.7% | -30.1% | 31% | 31% | -16.7% |
| all | 26 | -22.7% | -30.1% | 31% | 31% | -16.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.1% | 31% | -16.7% |
| 10% | -36.7% | 31% | -24.7% |
| 15% | -42.9% | 31% | -32.0% |
| 20% | -48.5% | 27% | -38.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 17¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 58¢ | 55¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 10¢ | 12¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+15%) |
| Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 55¢ | 46¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-15%) |
| Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 32¢ | 14¢ | $6 | $3 | −$3 (-58%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 15 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 15 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $41 | +$17 | +41% |
| Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 11 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Liberia win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 10 | $10 | +$17 | +164% |
| Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 10 | $10 | +$25 | +241% |
| Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-08? | Jun 09 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08? | Jun 09 | $10 | +$17 | +164% |
| Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 08 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Syria win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 08 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? | Jun 08 | $26 | +$52 | +203% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | Jun 07 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? | Jun 07 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 28? | Jun 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Albania win on 2026-06-03? | Jun 07 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-05? | Jun 07 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 07 | $10 | +$16 | +156% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02? | Jun 03 | $10 | +$18 | +171% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 31 | $43 | +$30 | +69% |