Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:04:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9D 0x9d72…969c other 3 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ bot/MM pace (119 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$51 (-0%) realized −$51 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -36% what you keep after slip
Net edge-36%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5,577per market
Trades / day119.0pace
Kalshi-fit0%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 100% −$66
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -8.7% -17.4% 0% 0% -9.9%
≤30d 3 -8.7% -17.4% 0% 0% -9.9%
≤90d 3 -8.7% -17.4% 0% 0% -9.9%
all 3 -8.7% -17.4% 0% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover119.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 0% -9.9%
10% -25.3% 0% -18.5%
15% ← realistic here -32.5% 0% -26.4%
20% -39.1% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
19.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$22 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$51
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5,577
Trades / day119.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 3 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Jun 11 $16,437 −$17 -0%
Will Brian Thomas Jr. be traded? Jun 11 $197 −$48 -24%
Will D.K. Metcalf be traded? Jun 11 $97 −$2 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? SELL No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? BUY No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? SELL No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? BUY No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? SELL No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? BUY No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? SELL No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? BUY No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? SELL No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? BUY No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? SELL No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? BUY No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? SELL No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? BUY No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? SELL No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? BUY No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? SELL No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? BUY No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? SELL No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? BUY No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? SELL No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? BUY No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? SELL No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? BUY No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? SELL No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? BUY No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? SELL No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? BUY No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? SELL No 99¢ $298 6d
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? BUY No 99¢ $298 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 119 history records