Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T14:43:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9D 0x9d72…b6e0 crypto 66 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (299 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$16 (+3%) realized +$16 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate62%41W / 25L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day299.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (299 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -1.9% -11.2% 62% 39% -9.7%
≤30d 66 -1.9% -11.2% 62% 39% -9.7%
≤90d 66 -1.9% -11.2% 62% 39% -9.7%
all 66 -1.9% -11.2% 62% 39% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover299.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 39% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 23% -18.3%
15% -27.5% 6% -26.2%
20% -34.6% 3% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
34% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.5 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses41 / 25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)66 / 66
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day299.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 66 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$1 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $13 −$5 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$2 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $12 +$3 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $18 −$11 -60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$3 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $19 +$4 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$9 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $34 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$5 -51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$2 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$2 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$2 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $23 −$7 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 16 $25 −$6 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$4 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $17 +$2 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$1 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$2 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $14 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$1 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$2 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$1 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$1 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $2 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $2 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $1 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $2 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $2 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $7 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $6 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $6 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $4 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 302 history records