Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:18:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9d80…fcaf
other · 84 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$41,796 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$41,851 · open +$55
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1,625
Realized−$41,851
Unrealized+$55
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses60 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)81%
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions3
Markets (closed)84 / 84
Avg bet$6,651
Trades / day36.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit12%
Chart Positions 3 History 84 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,391
7 days−$1,668
14 days−$629
30 days−$41,950
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? No 95¢ 98¢ $1,190 $1,230 +$40 (+3%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? No 91¢ 94¢ $355 $370 +$15 (+4%)
Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1? No 99¢ 98¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 4? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $2,244 $0 −$2,244 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1,667 $0 −$1,667 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's video get between 69 and 70 million views on week 1? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 6? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 51 and 52 million views on day 3? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $2,395 $0 −$2,395 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 6? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's video get between 68 and 69 million views on week 1? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 60 million views on day 5? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $643 $0 −$643 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? No 93¢ 0¢ $8,582 $0 −$8,582 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? Yes 94¢ 0¢ $8,099 $0 −$8,099 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 5? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $834 $0 −$834 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 53 million views on day 4? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1,798 $0 −$1,798 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's next video get 58 million or more views on day 4? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1,854 $0 −$1,854 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 48 million views on day 3? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1,616 $0 −$1,616 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 4 Jun 12 $2,244 −$2,244 -100%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 60 million views on day 5 Jun 12 $643 −$643 -100%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 5 Jun 12 $200 −$504 -251%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $48 +$9 +19%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China Jun 08 $6,644 +$7 +0%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $21,383 +$21 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in wee Jun 06 $2,614 +$22 +1%
Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views in week 1? Jun 06 $15,800 +$293 +2%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week Jun 06 $9,788 +$768 +8%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week Jun 06 $1,051 −$48 -5%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 63.5 million views in wee Jun 06 $1,084 −$28 -2%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week Jun 06 $3,011 +$35 +1%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week Jun 06 $3,564 +$85 +2%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3 Jun 05 $452 +$48 +11%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 6 Jun 05 $35 +$2 +6%
Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views on day 6? Jun 05 $657 +$20 +3%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6 Jun 05 $1,183 +$46 +4%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 6 Jun 05 $2,659 +$303 +11%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 6 Jun 05 $4,235 +$34 +1%
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on day 6? Jun 05 $8,056 +$105 +1%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 60 million views on day 5 Jun 04 $9,206 +$67 +1%
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 57 million views on day 5? Jun 04 $442 +$4 +1%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 5 Jun 04 $596 +$1 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get 61 million or more views on day 5? Jun 04 $602 +$2 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 5 Jun 04 $808 +$14 +2%
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 52 million views on day 4? Jun 03 $260 +$2 +1%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 53 million views on day 4 Jun 03 $1,094 +$6 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get 56 million or more views on day 4? Jun 03 $2,635 +$35 +1%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4 Jun 03 $8,450 +$17 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 4 Jun 03 $11,524 +$116 +1%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4 Jun 03 $34 +$3 +8%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3 Jun 02 $2,997 +$3 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 3 Jun 02 $4,561 +$9 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 48 million views on day 3 Jun 02 $7,934 +$12 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 3? Jun 02 $8,872 +$51 +1%
43 million or more views Jun 02 $6,108 +$50 +1%
between 39 and 41 million views Jun 02 $7,176 +$90 +1%
between 41 and 43 million views Jun 02 $20,619 +$130 +1%
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31? Jun 01 $135 +$1 +1%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 Jun 01 $5,843 +$171 +3%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1 Jun 01 $5,711 +$6 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 Jun 01 $7,256 +$35 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 Jun 01 $7,601 +$90 +1%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 Jun 01 $11,069 +$125 +1%
Roland Garros WTA: Magda Linette vs Iga Swiatek May 29 $1 +$1 +100%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchaga May 28 $29,071 +$29 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by May 27? May 28 $9,681 $0 +0%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 28 $28,971 +$29 +0%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 27 $28,971 +$29 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week May 24 $2,343 −$2,343 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 61% −$38,717
sports 37% +$311
world 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1? BUY No 99¢ $25 23m
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? BUY No 95¢ $1,127 16h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 BUY No 91¢ $320 20h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 BUY No 88¢ $37 26h
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? BUY No 98¢ $31 26h
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? BUY No 95¢ $32 38h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 57¢ $54 3d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 57¢ $3 3d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 47¢ $48 3d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China BUY Nepal 100¢ $16 3d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China BUY Nepal 100¢ $1 3d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China BUY Nepal 100¢ $241 3d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China BUY Nepal 100¢ $147 3d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China BUY Nepal 100¢ $1 3d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China BUY Nepal 100¢ $2 3d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China BUY Nepal 100¢ $30 3d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China BUY Nepal 100¢ $80 3d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China BUY Nepal 100¢ $3,204 3d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China BUY Nepal 100¢ $124 3d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China BUY Nepal 100¢ $83 3d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China BUY Nepal 100¢ $59 3d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China BUY Nepal 100¢ $8 3d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China BUY Nepal 100¢ $70 3d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China BUY Nepal 100¢ $5 3d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China BUY Nepal 100¢ $5 3d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China BUY Nepal 100¢ $54 3d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China BUY Nepal 100¢ $24 3d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China BUY Nepal 100¢ $129 3d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China BUY Nepal 100¢ $2,362 3d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 100¢ $21,383 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-1.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -7.2% -16.0% 79% 16% -10.8%
≤30d 83 +8.9% -1.5% 71% 11% -16.4%
≤90d 84 +8.8% -1.6% 71% 11% -15.8%
all 84 +8.8% -1.6% 71% 11% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.6% 11% -15.8%
10% -11.0% 7% -23.8%
15% ← realistic here -19.6% 7% -31.2%
20% -27.5% 7% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,625.03 · official $1,625.03 (match) · 1203 history records