Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:58:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9d90…f272
crypto · 1791 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,227 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,227 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,227
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses1033 / 559
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1592 / 1791
History coverage21d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day156.5
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1592 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,773
7 days−$1,874
14 days+$384
30 days+$1,227
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,971
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $4 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $4 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-4.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 789 -33.0% -39.4% 41% 41% -37.2%
≤30d 1592 +5.9% -4.2% 65% 65% -1.6%
≤90d 1592 +5.9% -4.2% 65% 65% -1.6%
all 1592 +5.9% -4.2% 65% 65% -1.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover156.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.2% 65% -1.6%
10% ← realistic here -13.3% 64% -11.0%
15% -21.7% 63% -19.6%
20% -29.4% 45% -27.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records