trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 56% | 56% | -14.6% |
| ≤30d | 26 | +15.9% | +4.9% | 62% | 62% | -3.3% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +15.9% | +4.9% | 62% | 62% | -3.3% |
| all | 62 | -2.9% | -12.2% | 55% | 45% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.2% | 45% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -20.6% | 42% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -28.2% | 37% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -35.3% | 32% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 61¢ | 62¢ | $50 | $50 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 49¢ | 48¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $20 | +$34 | +165% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $101 | +$20 | +20% |
| Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $31 | +$41 | +134% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $100 | +$12 | +12% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $61 | −$60 | -99% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $51 | +$37 | +73% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $51 | +$37 | +73% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $51 | +$31 | +62% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $51 | +$53 | +105% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $61 | +$35 | +57% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $51 | +$68 | +134% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $51 | +$34 | +67% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $64 | +$15 | +23% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $101 | +$50 | +50% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $81 | +$46 | +57% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $24 | +$65 | +276% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $51 | +$53 | +105% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 13 | $81 | −$80 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $61 | −$60 | -98% |
| Celtics vs. Pacers | Jan 13 | $64 | −$64 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Cavaliers | Jan 13 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Celtics | Jan 11 | $34 | +$46 | +133% |
| Clippers vs. Pistons | Jan 11 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Pacers | Jan 11 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Nuggets | Jan 10 | $16 | +$14 | +82% |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies | Jan 10 | $41 | +$39 | +96% |
| Knicks vs. Suns | Jan 10 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Magic | Jan 10 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Wizards | Jan 10 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Celtics | Jan 10 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Jazz | Jan 09 | $15 | +$35 | +233% |
| Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves | Jan 09 | $32 | +$38 | +122% |
| Jazz vs. Thunder | Jan 08 | $44 | +$11 | +25% |
| Spurs vs. Grizzlies | Jan 07 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Kings | Dec 22 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Jazz | Dec 22 | $15 | +$5 | +33% |
| Lakers vs. Clippers | Dec 21 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Warriors | Dec 21 | $29 | +$27 | +92% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Dec 21 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Grizzlies | Dec 21 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Pistons | Dec 21 | $17 | $0 | +1% |
| Thunder vs. Timberwolves | Dec 20 | $75 | −$55 | -73% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | Dec 20 | $48 | −$48 | -100% |