Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:27:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9da5…358e
other · 251 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$88 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$88 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$61
Realized−$88
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses19 / 231
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)250 / 251
History coverage131d
Avg bet$224
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 1 History 250 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$18
14 days−$24
30 days−$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $61 $61 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $303 −$1 -0%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $221 −$1 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $420 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $565 −$1 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $62 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 11 $522 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $358 −$1 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $836 −$2 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $469 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $198 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $234 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $439 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $436 −$1 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 09 $453 −$1 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $232 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $552 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $226 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $567 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $295 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 07 $348 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 07 $389 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $10 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 07 $530 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $432 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 06 $336 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $147 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 06 $341 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $238 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $811 −$1 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $716 −$1 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 05 $263 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $513 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $141 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 05 $477 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $533 −$1 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 04 $313 $0 +0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 04 $390 −$1 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 04 $448 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 04 $68 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $252 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $68 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 03 $275 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 03 $241 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $165 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $402 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 01 $286 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 01 $69 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 30 $335 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 29 $192 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 29 $595 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% −$44
sports 26% −$23
politics 7% −$2
culture 6% −$6
economics 5% −$4
crypto 4% −$5
world 4% −$3
tech 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $61 40m
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $62 1h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $62 3h
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 98¢ $48 5h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $14 8h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $14 10h
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $8 10h
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $6 11h
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $62 14h
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $62 14h
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $62 16h
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $62 18h
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $62 20h
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $62 24h
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $63 26h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $63 28h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $63 31h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $63 35h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $63 37h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $63 37h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $63 39h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $63 44h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $63 46h
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $63 2d
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $63 2d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $63 2d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $63 2d
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $63 2d
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $63 2d
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $63 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 67 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 179 -0.2% -9.7% 6% 0% -9.7%
all 250 -0.2% -9.7% 8% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $61.45 · official $61.45 (match) · 1377 history records