Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:35:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9daf…3314
crypto · 91 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$9 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28
Realized+$10
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses39 / 51
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)90 / 91
History coverage1d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day144.9
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 90 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$10
14 days+$10
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 20¢ 20¢ $29 $28 −$1 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$24 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$6 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$8 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$8 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$9 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$12 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$6 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$5 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$6 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$10
sports 3% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $13 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $22 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $4 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $9 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $7 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 +0.4% -9.1% 43% 39% -8.7%
≤30d 90 +0.4% -9.1% 43% 39% -8.7%
≤90d 90 +0.4% -9.1% 43% 39% -8.7%
all 90 +0.4% -9.1% 43% 39% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover144.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 39% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 31% -17.5%
15% -25.8% 24% -25.4%
20% -33.1% 12% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28.25 · official $28.25 (match) · 231 history records