Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:10:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9db9…4afe
crypto · 1785 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$35 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$35 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$35
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1576 / 224
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1800 / 1785
History coverage92d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day20.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1800 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days−$39
14 days−$48
30 days−$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1993%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 212 -8.5% -17.2% 80% 62% -19.1%
≤30d 864 -3.5% -12.7% 85% 47% -12.7%
≤90d 1730 -1.1% -10.5% 88% 40% -10.3%
all 1800 -1.1% -10.5% 88% 42% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 42% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 5% -18.9%
15% -26.9% 0% -26.8%
20% -34.1% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.12 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records