Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:51:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9dc0…d721
crypto · 639 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$32 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$32 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$32
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses467 / 172
Open positions0
Markets (closed)639 / 639
History coverage4d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day152.9
Drawdown91%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 639 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$37
7 days+$32
14 days+$32
30 days+$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 65¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 73¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 78¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 74¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 72¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 74¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 75¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 62¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 57¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 19¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 66¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 70¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 77¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 77¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 74¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 57¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 72¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 76¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 51¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 72¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 75¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 75¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 72¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 73¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 68¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +73%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 639 +1.3% -8.3% 73% 73% -7.6%
≤30d 639 +1.3% -8.3% 73% 73% -7.6%
≤90d 639 +1.3% -8.3% 73% 73% -7.6%
all 639 +1.3% -8.3% 73% 73% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover152.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 73% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 72% -16.4%
15% -25.1% 33% -24.5%
20% -32.5% 11% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1166 history records