Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:21:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9dc8…b727
crypto · 9 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$19 +33%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses2 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)9 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day21.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$17
14 days−$17
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$6 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$8 +763%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$12 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $0 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)+3.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +14.7% +3.8% 22% 11% -51.9%
≤30d 9 +14.7% +3.8% 22% 11% -51.9%
≤90d 9 +14.7% +3.8% 22% 11% -51.9%
all 9 +14.7% +3.8% 22% 11% -51.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.8% 11% -51.9%
10% ← realistic here -6.2% 11% -56.5%
15% -15.2% 11% -60.7%
20% -23.5% 11% -64.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 21 history records