trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 23 | -25.6% | -32.7% | 30% | 22% | -32.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.7% | 22% | -32.9% |
| 10% | -39.1% | 22% | -39.3% |
| 15% | -45.0% | 22% | -45.2% |
| 20% | -50.4% | 17% | -50.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $930 | $930 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 61¢ | 68¢ | $60 | $68 | +$7 (+12%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flames vs. Blues | Nov 12 | $12 | +$9 | +72% |
| Ducks vs. Avalanche | Nov 12 | $21 | +$9 | +45% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Magic | Nov 11 | $12 | +$10 | +82% |
| Celtics vs. Magic | Nov 10 | $14 | +$10 | +70% |
| Rockets vs. Spurs | Nov 07 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Hawks | Nov 07 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 15 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Adrian Zandberg be the next President of Poland? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Solana reach $220 in June? | Jul 15 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | May 19 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | May 19 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | May 15 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | May 15 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 08 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 25 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Canucks vs. Hurricanes | Jan 13 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Global heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024? | Jan 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Kraken vs. Blue Jackets | Jan 10 | $102 | +$102 | +100% |
| Will Nicolae Ciucă win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Jan 09 | $2 | −$1 | -50% |
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Jan 09 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 02 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |