Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:50:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9dd4…6a6c
crypto · 1713 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8,724 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11,449 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$11,449
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses904 / 869
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1773 / 1713
History coverage92d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day36.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1773 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,153
7 days−$6,660
14 days−$6,529
30 days−$6,374
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $128 $0 −$128 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $128 −$128 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $197 −$197 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $146 −$146 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$7 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $394 −$394 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $148 −$148 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$4,024
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $6 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $15 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $16 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $18 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $39 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 383 -27.2% -34.1% 35% 34% -61.3%
≤30d 577 -11.8% -20.2% 44% 42% -52.6%
≤90d 1753 -9.5% -18.1% 51% 50% -29.2%
all 1773 -9.7% -18.3% 51% 50% -29.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.3% 50% -29.9%
10% ← realistic here -26.1% 48% -36.6%
15% -33.3% 43% -42.8%
20% -39.8% 33% -48.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records